The Ideal of Indonesia in 2025

A famous management guru, Peter Drucker, once said: "The best way to predict the future is to create it." He was right. The ideal of Indonesia in 2025 :Since 1998, in reality the Indonesian nation has not just made reforms, but also undergone a major and fundamental transformation. This transformation is still ongoing and according to my estimates will still continue for the next 20 to 30 years.I note there are five major transformations we are currently undergoing. First, in the political world, we transformed from an authoritarian system into democracy. Second, in administration we went from a centralized system to a decentralized one. Third, we went from an economy dominated by natural resources to one based on industry, services, technology and human resources. Fourth, in international relations we are changing from being "inward looking" and too nationalistic to having a more balanced insight, "Inward and outward looking", by continuing to give priority to national interests. Fifth, related to the political stability and public security, we changed from a security approach to law enforcement.Can Indonesia become a more advanced, powerful and prosperous country in 2025? No one can guarantee that. However, starting from belief and common sense, I have the courage to say that we can.There are five reasons that I can offer. First, Indonesia is a young  country. There are still opportunities to grow and move forward. Second, we can always get out of a crisis. Several times Indonesia was predicted to collapse, but it did not happen. Third, our potential and resources are gigantic. This is a valuable development capital if the country is manned by competent, innovative and superior human beings. Fourth, we still continue to transform. Therefore the transformation and reform must not stop, let alone fail. Fifth, to strengthen the belief that Indonesia can move forward, there are many success stories.In 2025, we will probably no longer appreciate our heroes as much as we do now. Respect for and pride connected with national heroes – and the willingness to follow their paths – will no longer motivate the Indonesian youth in facing the challenges of their era.  This is not necessarily a bad thing. This phenomenon might be the result of progress in critical thinking and the freedom of information. Such progress makes us skeptical toward our so-called heroes. Indonesia is expected to grow into a developed country similar to most in Western Europe. According to the institute, the driver for this development will be agroindustry, which is expected to boom in Indonesia as a result of improved technology. Members of the middle-income bracket will grow both in cities and rural areas. Prosperity in remote areas will increase with the use of advanced technology [in agriculture],'said Didin Damanhuri, a member of the book team. Didin said the intensive use of technology would enable the agroindustry to balance the manufacturing industry in major cities. He said that growth in alternative industries, such as agro and marine, was a prerequisite for a healthy economy.œSuch an industrial structure is found in most Western European countries,'€ he said. The institute said that improved industrial structure would impact all sectors and improve economic prospects.According to Lemhanas, an improved economy will result in more funding for security enhancement, through the procurement of military equipment and technology.Our military power will expand,'€ another book team member, Syahrul Ansory, said.In particular, Lemhanas is confident that a better managed agroindustry will result in the environmentally friendly utilization of natural resources, such as bioenergy resources, and better overall economic development.This development would also generate funds for human resource education and upgrading, which could further enhance the nation'€™s economy and provide stability toward sustainable security, the institute said.However, Indonesia would still face subtle economic challenges possibly because of its archipelagic structure and huge population, the book concluded.Indonesia’s population will reach about 450 million people by 2025 if the population growth rate remains 1.49 percent. That means that one in every 20 people in the world would be Indonesian, on the sidelines of a national meeting on population development and family planning.Such a large population would create massive burdens on government spending on health, education, food and public housing.A huge number of people can have the potential to drive the economy as long as they are qualified. Without quality, they can be a burden on our development.To prevent a baby boom, Indonesia needed a population control plan. This would cover family planning and help spread the population evenly throughout the country and improve transportation. The government would also revitalize the national family planning program as part of its efforts to prevent higher population growthIndonesia towards 2025 so is to be considered by anyone in Indonesia today. In that year was Indonesia will celebrate its 100 years of independence. Independence gained by businesses that we can not balaskan as the nation's future. The hero gives the whole body and soul to Indonesia in order to gain its independence.Currently, Indonesia's population is young more than the elderly. Minimum 0-9 years of 45 million, in the year 2025 will be aged 35-45 years and 10-19 years of age amounted to 43 million, in the year 2045 will be 45-54. This is the background of the emergence of the identity of the golden generation. If we look at the data from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) of young people from year to year continues to increase. If in 2005 the age of 15-39 years, in 2005 amounted to 93,865,303, the year 2010 has increased to 100 418 626 people. In fact, the National Development Planning Agency (Bappenas) projects that the population of Indonesia in 2035 amounted to 305.6 million next. This number increased by 28.6 percent from the year 2010 which amounted to 237.6 million. In 2010, the proportion of productive age population amounted to 66.5 per cent. This proportion continued to increase reaching 68.1 per cent in 2028 until 2031.The increasing number of productive age population led to declining rates of dependence, namely the number of productive age population not covered by 100 people of productive age population from 50.5 percent in 2010 to 46.9 percent in the period 2028-2031. But this dependence figures began to rise again to 47.3 percent in 2035. Managing the golden generation will be the biggest challenge of the Indonesian nation. Because the population of productive age enormous number of these are very valuable demographic bonus. But otherwise if management is not good, a golden opportunity will be a demographic disaster.The situation now faced by the Indonesian people is the lack of a national identity. Indonesian nation and people of his blind to his true identity. Pancasila should be re-implanted to the Indonesian people. Especially to children Succession nation. Because if we do not reinvest Pancasila, Indonesia will face a demographic disaster that is her name. The nation's future will continue a tradition that is very detrimental to the nation.Indonesia will towards a future where we are given an opportunity to become an independent nation, prosperous nation and a nation that leads the world. Year 2045 Indonesian economy will enter a period where Indonesia will regulate the world economy. This all can be obtained and can be realized, with only by changing the existing community marsyarakat and properly educate the nation's future. Pancasila should be re-enforced become a way of life of the Indonesian nation. People should practice Pancasila Indonesia well. Rakyat Indonesia must develop an attitude of respect and bekerjasaama between faiths with pengenut different beliefs against Almighty God according to the precepts item to 1, in order to avoid division among the people of Indonesia.Furthermore, recognizing the equality, equal rights and obligations of rights of every human being, without distinction of race, ancestry, religion, creed, sex, social status, skin color and, engembangkan mutual love among human beings, as well as the courageous stand for justice in accordance with clause sila-2. In order for the people of Indonesia can be a united people, without dispute, to maintain order in society and create an environment of fair competition.Then able to put unity, unity, as well as the interests and safety of the nation and the State as a common interest above personal and group interests to the principle according to item 3, is intended for all people eliminate ego, so that corruption in this country disappear by itself. Corruption in particular has put Indonesia in a very sad situation.After that the people of Indonesia must respect and uphold any decision reached as a result of deliberation in accordance with the precepts-4. And also let him choose the representatives carefully and well Not because it wants to benefit seuatu class only. And also develop noble deeds, which reflect the attitude and atmosphere of kinship and mutual cooperation in accordance with the precepts 5th .  It all has to be equipped with a good education and the right to the nation's future, so that Indonesia can become a nation devoted to God Almighty, the nation's fair and civilized, united nation, a nation that had a problem with deliberation, and this nation uphold social justice for all people.   By returning the Pancasila as a way of life, the quality of the population in the productive age there will be people who have the expertise, and the quality of work that can realize Indonesia Gold 2045.Indonesia’s journey since independence has encountered hardship at times but also reached important milestones. The generation of 1945 fought for and won our independence. The generation of 1966 continued with the objective of maintaining macroeconomic stability and focused on the development of critical infrastructure in every corner of our archipelago. And despite suffering from a structural financial crisis, the generation of 1998 demanded reform that would spread to all layers of society and in the end would usher in the era of democracy for Indonesia. Our healthy democracy has been reinforced by a commitment from all layers of society to ensure that the euphoria of newfound freedoms does not breed excess. Economic development and democratization continue to exhibit a mutually reinforcing relationship. Even when the global financial crisis struck the United States in 2008, Indonesia was able to sustain itself. It is understandable then if the younger generation now is being called a transformative generation, prepared to turn threats and challenges in a highly uncertain 21st century into meaningful opportunities.Thirty-two years from now, in 2045, we will commemorate the 100th year of independence. At that time we hope to be in the midst of a golden age with yet another generation leading this great nation. This generation will rise on the back of our competitive and competent human capital. This view is in line with President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono’s vision of the future as detailed in the journal Strategic Review: “Not only can the Generation of 2045 match the strength and spirit of the Generation of 1945, but they will surpass the expectation of their elders. Central to taking on this mantle of the golden generation, we must identify the opportunities and challenges confronting our nation. But this is not easy to do.What Indonesia looks like in 2045 will be determined by the efforts of people from all layers of society. Most importantly, our transformation will require mental and physical endurance and unwavering commitment. This transformation will be a marathon, not a sprint. And to turn challenges into opportunities, we must embrace change, particularly in relation to information and communications technology. This will help alleviate the pressures that an estimated 9 billion global population will face: the potential for scarcity, competition and conflict on issues ranging from energy and food to water. Our current president predicts that in 2045 Indonesia will be a nation that is free, democratic, just, open, interconnected and prosperous. This will be realized if his three targets regarding the state of Indonesia’s economy, democracy and civilizational development are achieved by 2045. Echoing the president’s predictions, I would like to add one point: the state of our military.The first prediction is that Indonesia in 2045 will become the seventh-largest global economy with a GDP of about $12 trillion. At $37,000 per capita, this is close to 10 times the wealth enjoyed by each person on average in Indonesia today. However, to reach this level of prosperity, what is required is a five-track strategy that builds on the five tracks laid out by President Yudhoyono. His tracks are pro-growth, pro-poor, pro-jobs and pro-environment. The fifth one I propose is pro-technology. The second prediction is that Indonesia’s democracy will be stable and mature. Democracy, freedom and the euphoria of the ballot is not our nation’s ultimate goal. As emphasized by the president, Indonesia has reached the point of no return with respect to its form of governance. A culture of democracy will be nurtured and accompanied by the rule of law and social justice.Indonesia is the third-largest democracy in the world, a far cry from its authoritarian past. Still, democracy remains a process to achieve overarching national aims such as creating a nation that is secure, at peace and prosperous.Underlying all this is a consistent effort to uphold the law and our traditional values as a civilization. In other words, democracy in Indonesia must be homegrown, so that our local cultures and ethics remain the basis of a vibrant and representative democracy.The third prediction is that Indonesian civilization will be advanced and held in high esteem. Our nation in 2045 is predicted to be peaceful, tolerant and harmonious. Our people will form an open society that respects and upholds pluralism and syncretizes external ideas and influences so that our local cultures become stronger, richer and more beneficial to our nation as a whole. To achieve this, we must foster a spirit of multiculturalism, especially by advancing our national motto of Bhinneka Tunggal Ika , or Unity in Diversity, and strengthen the harmony our society has valued for centuries.Lastly, given a strong economic foundation, Indonesia will possess a strong military force. This is a prediction to complement three earlier predictions made by the president.From the military perspective, a strong economy must be accompanied strong armed forces. With just 1 percent of GDP allocated to the defense industry, by 2045 the country can have a modern and hi-tech main weapons systems to safeguard its sovereignty and unity. In other words, in 2045 Indonesia will be a strong military power. To be sure, this does not mean that Indonesia will take an aggressive stand against other countries in the region, but rather that it will be taken seriously in its efforts to guard its sovereignty from any external or internal threat. Professional soldiers on the ground must have high-quality weapons systems so that from Sabang to Merauke, and from Miangas Island to Rote Island, they will be provided cover from hi-tech fighter jets, warships and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles. This is important not only to safeguard our sovereignty but also to minimize casualties when conflict does arise. Sufficient defense spending would allow Indonesia to realize a Minimum Essential Force that is absolutely necessary for our military if it is to anticipate and deal with the wide spectrum of threats in our globalized era. Our military must be ready to be deployed not only for war but also for Military Operations Other Than War. This requires our soldiers to stand shoulder to shoulder with all layers of society in responding to natural disasters and other non-conventional security threats. This must be backed by military diplomacy and defense cooperation with our allies and partners. Indonesia will be feared by its enemies and respected by its friends. To deliver on these four predictions, three preconditions must be met. First, our human capital must be developed so that it values a culture of excellence that would allow Indonesia’s younger generation to adapt to uncertainties and change. Second, our younger generation must resist complacency in this moment of transformation and turn coming challenges into game-changing opportunities. Third, our younger generation must act in time, embodying the motto: “Think big, do small, do now.”All this requires exceptional leadership from all layers of society. We will be able to make Indonesia a much better nation by 2045, but preparations should start now.

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